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New polling shows where Michigan voters stand on Senate race

Slotkin leads Rogers in race for Michigan US Senate seat

Michigan U.S. Rep. Elissa Slotkin and Mike Rogers. (AP photos) (Associated Press)

A new WDIV/Detroit News survey asked voters to weigh in on the state’s U.S. Senate race.

The WDIV/Detroit News survey was conducted between Aug. 26 and Aug. 29, 2024.

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Here are some of the key findings on the U.S. Senate race in Michigan:

  • Elissa Slotkin leads Mike Rogers 43.5%-35.0% -- a lead of 8.5%.

Among ‘definite voters’, Slotkin expands her to lead to 45.2%-35.2% -- a ten-point lead. 13.6% of definite voters are undecided.

‘Probable voters’ lean towards Rogers at 32.7% Rogers to 25.0% Slotkin. 30.8% of probable voters are undecided.

Slotkin holds a six-point lead among independent voters – but 38.0% of independent voters remain undecided.

  • Slotkin is winning 90% of Kamala Harris voters. But Rogers is winning only 72% of Trump voters giving him considerable room to grow.
  • Slotkin holds a 23.2%-point lead among college voters. Non-college voters are essentially tied with at 39.8% Rogers to 37.8% Slotkin – a difference of two-points.
  • Slotkin holds a 20.7%-point lead among women with 18.8% of women remaining undecided. Rogers holds a 4.4% lead among men with 11.2% remaining undecided.
  • Slotkin holds a 2-1 lead in Metro Detroit leading by 28.1% points. Rogers holds a 10.3%-point lead in out-state Michigan, with 18.4% of out-state voters remaining undecided.

Harris and Slotkin are both pulling 43.5% of the vote. The difference is that Trump is pulling 44.7% while Rogers is pulling only 35.0% -- a difference of 9.7%.


Poll methodology

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2024 likely general election voters. The 600 sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on August 26-29, 2024 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence. 16.6% of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 83.4% of respondents were contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and the Detroit News.


About the Author
Ken Haddad headshot

Ken Haddad has proudly been with WDIV/ClickOnDetroit since 2013. He also authors the Morning Report Newsletter and various other newsletters, and helps lead the WDIV Insider team. He's a big sports fan and is constantly sipping Lions Kool-Aid.

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