DETROIT – The 2024 general election could be a replay of 2020 at the top of the ticket, but with a different result.
According to a new WDIV/Detroit News poll, if the election was held today, 46 percent of Michigan voters said they would support Donald Trump, while 38 percent would choose Joe Biden.
Poll: Where Michigan voters stand on another Biden-Trump presidential race in 2024
“It would be mistake reading into this being about Trump being popular, it’s much more to do with Biden being unpopular,” Republican strategist Jason Roe.
“I’m not convinced that this is fixable with this candidate. So, if you’re a high-level democrat, you should be focused on getting the president to give the LBJ speech. If nominated, I won’t run. If elected, I won’t serve,” Democratic strategist Adrian Hemond said.
According to the poll, Michigan governor Gretchen Whitmer would win in a matchup against Trump in Michigan.
California governor Gavin Newsom would fare a little better against Trump than Biden but would still lose.
The poll also found former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley would defeat Biden in Michigan.
“Regardless of what you think of Trump’s behavior, America seemed to work a little bit better,” Roe said in reference to Trump’s time in office.
“The president has been out making it an argument that you have to vote to re-elect me to save American democracy from Donald Trump. The voters don’t care about that as much as he wants them to. The voters care about issues that affect them and their families directly,” Hemond said.
The Michigan Democratic Party released the following statement:
“Let’s be clear, this poll — like all polls right now — are noisy and non-predictive. Michigan Dems’ program to re-elect President Biden and Vice President Harris isn’t designed to win the next poll; it’s to win this November.
"What we know is that it’s January 2024, and the voters who decide this election are not thinking about the choice that will be on the ballot come November.
"We also must remember the facts about this poll, it was conducted by a longtime Republican operative whose similar poll underestimated President Obama’s margin of victory in Michigan by seven points in 2012.
"Our focus and energy right now is squarely on laying the foundation for what the choice will be in November. We know Michiganders are mobilized around the President's agenda of creating jobs, fighting for freedom, and protecting our democracy. That's how we got a Democratic trifecta in Lansing -- and that's how we'll win Michigan again in November."
Tommy Kubitschek, spokesperson for the Michigan Democratic Party
Related: Where Michigan voters stand on 2024 US senator race