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Metro Detroit weather: Big warmup on the way

Could we hit 70 degrees?

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DETROIT – Well, you’ve made it through our little midweek cold snap, and now you deserve a nice big warm-up. Be patient. It’s coming following passage of a warm front Thursday night (remember that the warm front is simply the front edge of the warmer air mass heading our way).

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Ahead of the warm front, as is typically the case, will be a batch of showers, and possibly even a thundershower, between 1 and 4 a.m.  You can see below how my in-house RPM model is handling the overnight rain.

The rain should be gone well before rush hour, and overnight lows in the mid 30s (2 degrees Celsius) will actually occur in the middle of the night.  By the time you leave for work and the kids head off to school Friday morning, temps should have risen into the low to mid 40s (6 degrees Celsius). Wind overnight will be light at first and from the southeast, then increase to 10 to 15 mph from the south after the warm front passes by.

The only question about Friday’s weather is how much sun we’ll get. Thursday afternoon’s visible satellite imagery shows a lot of clear sky behind the warm front (in Missouri). However, some models still try to generate some cloud cover for us behind it on Friday.

I’m banking on at least partly cloudy to partly sunny skies, and that should allow temperatures to rise into the upper 60s (20 degrees Celsius) for most, with some areas well south of 8 Mile possibly even hitting 70 degrees (21 degrees Celsius). It’ll be a windy day, though, with south-southwest winds at 15 to 25 mph by afternoon.

Friday’s sunrise is at 7:29 a.m., and Friday’s sunset is at 7:50 p.m.

Clouds increase Friday night as, and this is hard to explain, the warm front starts actually sagging back down to the south. This process will also increase rain chances for some, especially the farther north you are. Lows in the upper 40s (8 degrees Celsius).

Rain will increase through the day Saturday, although some of us in the southern half of the area may potentially see most of the rain hold off until afternoon. Temperatures are going to be crazy, as the front potentially splits the area.  We could have a day where highs barely touch 50 degrees (10 degrees Celsius) near and north of I-69, and reach 60 degrees (15-16 degrees Celsius) near the state line.

I can’t wait to prepare tomorrow’s 4ZONE Forecast for Saturday showing you specific highs in your part of the area … that’s going to be fun (I’ve been mentioning this to Ben Bailey for a couple of days now).

Rain will reign Saturday night, with lows in the mid 40s (7 degrees Celsius).

Showers should continue into Sunday, with highs in the mid 50s (14 degrees Celsius).

Total rainfall this weekend could end up between one and 1 and 1.5 inches, so be aware of this if you tend to have water problems where you live following a lot of rain, especially when the ground is frozen and can’t absorb most of it.

Showers slowly diminish Sunday night, with lows in the mid 40s (8 degrees Celsius).

Monday, hopefully, will remain dry, albeit with mostly cloudy skies. Highs will be in the upper 50s to near 60 degrees (15 degrees Celsius).

Rain returns on Tuesday, with highs in the mid-50s (14 degrees Celsius).

Partly cloudy on Wednesday, with highs near 50 degrees (10 degrees Celsius).

Partly cloudy to mostly cloudy on Thursday, with highs in the low 50s (11 degrees Celsius).

Rain develops once again at some point on Friday, with highs in the low 50s (11 degrees Celsius).