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Tracking end-of-the-week snowfall as Metro Detroit stays mostly mild until Friday

Significant snow accumulation possible, but uncertain

4Warn WeatherGood Wednesday afternoon!

Drier weather moves in this afternoon with a pretty large temperature gradient across Southeast Michigan.

Highs into the thumb will range from the upper 30 (farthest north) to mid-40s closer to Flint and Port Huron. It’ll be milder from I-96 to I-69, as highs will be in the mid-40s (north) to low 50s (south). Then likely topping out in the mid-50s south of I-94.

Tonight’s sunset is at 6:23 p.m.

It will be calmer and back in the low 40s on Thursday ahead of an impactful winter system on Friday.

Tracking Friday system

In full transparency this is what we know vs. what is still in limbo about what we’ll see this Friday:

High confidence:

  • The timing: Widespread precipitation will move in Friday morning and last throughout the day.
  • Winds will be gusty, around 40 mph.

Low confidence:

  • The track of the low pressure, which highly dictates the precipitation type, is uncertain. If it tracks farther north (which the Euro computer model hints at), then we’ll see a changeover to rain earlier in the day, significantly cutting down on snow totals. If it tracks farther south, we’ll be on the cold side of the system, giving us prolonged snowfall. Other long-range models (like the GFS) have us in the cold sector longer with significant snowfall accumulations.

The takeaway as of this morning: If we blend the models together, we could see upward of 4 inches of snow on Friday -- but I firmly believe it is still too soon to lock in on snowfall projections until higher resolution models come in within the next 48 hours.

Stay with your 4Warn Weather team for updates!

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About the Author
Ashlee Baracy headshot

Ashlee Baracy is an Emmy award-winning meteorologist who was born and raised in Metro Detroit. You can catch her 4Warn Weather forecasts weekday mornings, at noon and streaming on Local4+.

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