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Michigan fall weather outlook 2024: What to expect

Temperature, rain outlook for Michigan this fall season

Michigan satelite image. (NASA)

4Warn Weather – After a brief break from some of the summer like temperatures over the past few weeks, enjoy the chilly temperatures because a warm up is on the way, looking ahead of the next week, and looking ahead over the next few months.

The Climate Prediction Center has issued its monthly temperature outlook for the month of September, and it’s one-to-three-month temperature outlook across the entire United States, taking us through November, and no surprise -- we’re expecting the trend of warmer than average temperatures to continue.

Michigan fall temp outlook

It’s not just for Metro Detroit for the month of September. The majority of the 48 states is expected to have near or above average temperatures, with the highest chance of above average temperatures over the four corners region, Florida, and the northeastern United States.

NOAA Fall Outlook. (NOAA)
NOAA Fall Outlook. (NOAA)

Michigan fall precipitation outlook

Switching gears, and looking at our precipitation chances, the Climate Prediction Center is forecasting near equal chances for precipitation across the Great Lakes into the Ohio valley, with the weather than average precipitation outlook over the northeast United States down into the Gulf states, and the dryer the average or below average precipitation chances through the Midwest back into portions of the four corners region.

NOAA Fall Outlook. (NOAA)
NOAA Fall Outlook. (NOAA)

Average Temperature & Precipitation Number for September to November for Detroit Metro Airport:

  • September Average High: 74.4°
  • September Average Low: 55.5°
  • September Average Monthly Precipitation: 3.22”
  • September Average Monthly Snowfall: 0.00”
  • October Average High: 62.0°
  • October Average Low: 44.0°
  • October Average Monthly Precipitation: 2.53”
  • October Average Monthly Snowfall: 0.00”
  • November Average High: 48.6°
  • November Average Low: 33.9°
  • November Average Monthly Precipitation: 2.57”
  • November Average Monthly Snowfall: 1.90”

We’ve seen a trace of snow on Halloween before in the last few years, so it is possible if the weather pattern overall supports it, but as of right now, it looks like the overall warmer than average, and drier than average forecast is going to stick around as we wind down summer, and usher in fall!


About the Author
Bryan Schuerman headshot

Bryan became a permanent member of the 4Warn Weather Team in March 2023 after coming to Local 4 in May 2022 as a freelance meteorologist.

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